This could change everything…
Neil Ferguson, the epidemiologist who created a coronavirus model, has recently made a massive alter to his model. In his previous model, he projected 2.2 million people dead in the United States as well as 500,000 people in the U.K. if no actions were taken.
After a single day of lockdown in U.K., Ferguson has changed what he thought and said that 20,000 people in U.K. will die versus the 500,000 from before. A former New York Times reporter posted, “This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the [Imperial College] authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths — and who has now himself tested positive for #COVID.”
“He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. — more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case [because] they were so old and sick.”
“Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased — which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize — which in turn implies it is less dangerous.”
2/ He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. – more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) March 26, 2020
While not much was provided about the U.S., if this all proves true, this would be better news than what was previously predicted. Read the whole story here.